Prediction for rice yield using data mining approach in Ranga Reddy district of Telangana, India

Abstract

In order to explore the possibility of crop estimation, data mining approach being multidisciplinary was followed. The district of Ranga Reddy, Telangana State, India has been chosen for the study and its year wise average yield data of rice and daily weather over a period of 31 years i.e. from 1988-2019 (30th to 47th Standard Meteorological Weeks). Data mining tool WEKA (V3.8.1). Min- Max Normalization technique followed by Feature Selection algorithm, ‘cfsSubsetEval’ was also adopted to improve quality and accuracy of data mining algorithms. Thus, after cleaning and sorting of data, five classifiers viz., Logistic, MLP (Multi Layer Perceptron), J48 Classifier, LMT (Logistic Model Trees) and PART Classifier were employed over the trained data. The results indicated that the function based and tree based models have better performance over rule based model. In case of function based two models examined, viz., Logistic and MLP, the later performed better over Logistic model. Between tree based two models, LMT performed better over J48. Thus, MLP classifier model found to be the best fit model in predicting rice yields as it recorded an accuracy of 74.19 %, sensitivity of 0.742 and precision of 0.743 as compared with other models. The MLP has also achieved the highest F1 score of (0.742) and MCC (0.581).