Analysis of GCMs for prediction of precipitation for Hoshangabad region of Madhya Pradesh

Authors

  • ANKIT BALVANSHI Department of Civil Engineering, Maulana Azad National Institute of Technology, Bhopal 462003, Madhya Pradesh
  • H. L. TIWARI Department of Civil Engineering, Maulana Azad National Institute of Technology, Bhopal 462003, Madhya Pradesh

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.54386/jam.v20i4.570

Keywords:

General circulation model, MCDM, precipitation,, temperature,, TOPSIS

Abstract

Ten general circulation models (GCMs) – BCCR-BCCM2.0, Can-ESM2, CGCM3, CSIRO-Mk3.0, GFDL-CM2.0, GFDL-CM2.1, GISS, HADCM3, HADGEM1 and MIROC3.2 were analysed for prediction of precipitation for Hoshangabad region, Madhya Pradesh India. The performance indicator, skill score (SS),technique for order preference by similarity to an ideal solution (TOPSIS) techniques were employed for the selection of the best GCM. The multi-criterion decision making method (MCDM), technique TOPSIS was employed to evaluate and rank the 10 GCMs. On the basis of skill score and TOPSIS, GCMs Can- ESM2, CGCM3, GFDL2.0, HadCM3, MIROC3.2 is recommended for the study area. It is also found that GCMs CSIRO-Mk3.0 and GISS occupied the last two positions for Hoshangabad region, M.P., India. 

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Published

01-12-2018

How to Cite

ANKIT BALVANSHI, & H. L. TIWARI. (2018). Analysis of GCMs for prediction of precipitation for Hoshangabad region of Madhya Pradesh. Journal of Agrometeorology, 20(4), 302–304. https://doi.org/10.54386/jam.v20i4.570

Issue

Section

Research Paper