Impact of climate variability on nutmeg production in the Banda Islands, Maluku, Indonesia

Authors

  • JOHANNA AUDREY LEATEMIA Agricultural Science Study Program, Post Graduate Program. Pattimura University, Poka-Ambon 97233, Indonesia
  • SEMUEL LAIMEHERIWA Agrotechnology Study program, Faculty of Agriculture, Pattimura University, Poka-Ambon 97233, Indonesia
  • HERMAN REHATTA Agrotechnology Study program, Faculty of Agriculture, Pattimura University, Poka-Ambon 97233, Indonesia

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.54386/jam.v27i2.2827

Keywords:

Banda Islands, Nutmeg production, Rainfall, Temperature, Humidity, Solar radiation

Abstract

Maluku, an archipelagic province with many small islands, is a key nutmeg-producing region in Indonesia. However, nutmeg production has declined over time for unclear reasons. This study aims to assess climate change and its impact on nutmeg production in the Banda Islands, Maluku, Indonesia, by analyzing long-term (1964–2023) rainfall trends and the relationship between climate variables and crop productivity. The relationship between climate variables and nutmeg production over a 15-year period was analyzed using Principal Component Analysis (PCA). The results showed annual rainfall in the Banda Islands increased by 13% in 1994–2023 compared to 1964–1993. The frequency of El Niño events decreased from 8 to 4, while La Niña events increased from 4 to 8 over the same periods. Nutmeg production is positively correlated with rainfall and relative humidity, while it is negatively associated with air temperature and sunshine duration.

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Published

01-06-2025

How to Cite

LEATEMIA, J. A., LAIMEHERIWA, S., & REHATTA, H. (2025). Impact of climate variability on nutmeg production in the Banda Islands, Maluku, Indonesia. Journal of Agrometeorology, 27(2), 144–147. https://doi.org/10.54386/jam.v27i2.2827