Climate change impacts on the accumulation of growing degree days for corn in central Mexico

Authors

  • ALEJANDRO CRUZ-GONZÁLEZ Posgrado en Ingeniería Agrícola y Uso Integral del Agua, Universidad Autónoma Chapingo, km.38.5 Carretera México-Texcoco, Texcoco, Estado de México, México CP. 56230 https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3804-8523
  • RAMÓN ARTEAGA-RAMÍREZ Depatamento de Irrigación. Universidad Autónoma Chapingo, km.38.5 Carretera México-Texcoco, Estado de México, México. CP. 56230 https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9459-3588
  • ALEJANDRO ISMAEL MONTERROSO-RIVAS Departamento de Suelos, Universidad Autónoma Chapingo. Carretera México-Texcoco km 36.5, Texcoco, Estado de México, México CP. 56230 https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4348-8918
  • IGNACIO SÁNCHEZ-COHEN Instituto Nacional de Investigaciones Forestales, Agrícolas y Pecuarias - Centro Nacional de Investigación Disciplinaria en Relación Agua-Suelo-Planta-Atmósfera. Gómez Palacio, Durango. México. CP. 35140 https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9063-7114
  • JESÚS SORIA-RUIZ Laboratorio de Geomática - Sitio Experimental Metepec - Instituto Nacional de Investigaciones Forestales, Agrícolas y Pecuarias. Carretera Toluca-Zitácuaro, Zinacantepec, Estado de México, México. CP. 52176 https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6226-6598
  • ABEL QUEVEDO-NOLASCO Colegio de Postgraduados Campus Montecillo. Carretera México-Texcoco km 36.5, Texcoco, Estado de México. México. C. P. 56264

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.54386/jam.v27i1.2783

Keywords:

Climate scenario, LARS-WG, Thermal weather, Corn production, GDD, CMIP6

Abstract

Temperature is the main driving factor for plant development and growth and determines, in an important way, crop yields and is projected to increase under various climate change scenarios, which is expected to affect the thermo-sensitive crop like corn. Therefore, an attempt has been made to identify the spatio-temporal behavior of temperature, through the accumulation of growing degree days (GDD) in the Atlacomulco Rural Development District (ARDD) of Mexico. The maximum and minimum temperatures for the historical period 1985-2017 and projected under the SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5 climate scenarios for distant time horizon (2061-2080) were analysed. It was identified that the average GDD in the ARDD corresponds to 1,440 ºC, being the northern zone the one with the highest accumulation with up to 1800 ºC. SSP2-4.5 identifies an increase of 298 ºC with respect to historical values, while SSP5-8.5 indicates the greatest increase of up to 33% in the accumulation of GDD with an average value of 1,914 ºC. The warming that is projected in the distant horizon allows identifying warm characteristics in the ARDD, which could increase corn production in this temperate climate.

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Published

01-03-2025

How to Cite

CRUZ-GONZÁLEZ, A., ARTEAGA-RAMÍREZ, R., MONTERROSO-RIVAS, A. I., SÁNCHEZ-COHEN, I., SORIA-RUIZ, J., & QUEVEDO-NOLASCO, A. (2025). Climate change impacts on the accumulation of growing degree days for corn in central Mexico. Journal of Agrometeorology, 27(1), 38–42. https://doi.org/10.54386/jam.v27i1.2783

Issue

Vol. 27 No. 1 (2025): March

Section

Research Paper

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Copyright (c) 2024 ALEJANDRO CRUZ-GONZÁLEZ, RAMÓN ARTEAGA-RAMÍREZ, ALEJANDRO ISMAEL MONTERROSO-RIVAS, IGNACIO SÁNCHEZ-COHEN, JESÚS SORIA-RUIZ, ABEL QUEVEDO-NOLASCO

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